Tonight is the $20,000 Guaranteed Pick 4 at Balmoral Park. I’m going to stick with my $24 ticket, but must admit almost wavered and add two more horses in the 13th race. I will mention the two that I would’ve added when we get down to that race. The Pick 4 will start at Race 10, and here are the selections.
Race 10 #5 Fools Gold ML 3/1 #7 Well To Do Guru ML 7/2 #8 Big Daddy Woo Woo ML 5/1
This race is an Invitational Handicap so we are going to see some strong entries. Big Daddy Woo Woo should end up being the favorite, but I’m going with Fools Gold. He has been posting strong speed fig’s and won three back here at Balmoral in a handicap race. Marcus Miller has driven him twice and won both times. His final times are competitive against both the #8 and the #7 Well To Do Guru. I expect he will slide off to a good price.
Race 11 #1 Unity Road ML 3/1 #4 Blueridgevalentino ML 8/1 #5 Polaris 6/1
Blueridgevalentino is moving up in class after winning three in a row. He has shown nice improvement in his speed and Carlson has him in a nice groove. While Unity Road will be tough, I like the improving #4 in this spot. The spoiler in this race is Smiling Bob coming out of the 8 hole.
Race 12 #2 Fiveknuckleshuffle ML 4/1 #6 Bill’s Boy ML 8/1 #8 Masterchargeit ML 5/1
This is the wide open race of the four. It is the race you want to hit the “all” button and root for the “bomber” to score and push the winning ticket into the four figures. Sadly, I had to pick three and find a winner. I could argue a case for several here, will stay with Masterchargeit dropping down in class. He has shown the best consistent speed for this group, and Michael Cox does well in dropping horses down into these spots. I do like the #2 a great deal and believe he has a good shot of upsetting.
Race 13 #10 KB’s Robby ML 9/2
This race is a Claiming Handicap and it draws some interesting plays. Right now it’s hard to go against the #10. John Roberts has this gelding hitting a nice consistent speed figures in the 80’s and finishing well. He knows how to win, and see no reason not to take this one. The others here that I liked were, #5 Oh Poncho and #3 NJ’s Super Charger.
Saturday, October 8, 2011
Saturday, October 1, 2011
Balmoral $20,000 Pick 4 Selections for Saturday 10/1
On Wednesday we got close again to hitting the Pick 4 at Balmoral. First two races came in as predicted, but in the third race, our old friend, Mearl Finn scored. She has won for us before, and it is always tough to leave her off the ticket. She did a good job at 3/1. Tonight is the Guaranteed $20,000 Pick 4 and got a good feeling we got this one wired. Still holding to a $24 ticket, so if you add one or two more, you still could get some good value.
Race 10 #2 Delightful Five ML 3/1 #4 Major Monet ML 5/1 #8 Omaha Survivor ML 4/1
There are some nice horses in this pace but form is the question. We have had success with the #4 in the past but not sure if he is fading or going to rebound. I like Delightful Five in this spot. The last three races his speed fig’s have improved, has raced well and looks poised to capture a win. The one that could find his way back to the winner circle is Omaha Survivor.
Race 11 #5 Bobs Minute Maid ML 7/2 #7 Temperment ML 9/2 #10 Dawn’s Mist ML 6/1
This is a wide open race, and there are others here that could easily win. In all actuality, I would hit the “all” button. In picking one to play, I keep going back to the #7. She has posted two 81’s in a row, knows how to win and final times have improved.
Race 12 #1 Allamerican Bomber ML 3/1 #5 Look Yankee ML 4/1 #10 Giddy Up Boy ML 5/1
I’m going to stay with Giddy Up Boy in this pace. The angle here is Todd Warren back in the buggy. He has a good ROI with this gelding and I believe he is rounding back into form and has the class edge . There is plenty of other to choose so another race that you could justify the “all” button.
Race 13 #8 Kitty O’Brien ML 4/1
She is coming back off a claim where the trainer has a 52% ROI and Eric Carlson takes over the driving. This mare has been pacing real well, and only a lack of room pushed into a fourth last out. She gets back into her previous form she should take this group easily. Money Runner and Cole Star have to be considered, but banking on Kitty doing her job.
Race 10 #2 Delightful Five ML 3/1 #4 Major Monet ML 5/1 #8 Omaha Survivor ML 4/1
There are some nice horses in this pace but form is the question. We have had success with the #4 in the past but not sure if he is fading or going to rebound. I like Delightful Five in this spot. The last three races his speed fig’s have improved, has raced well and looks poised to capture a win. The one that could find his way back to the winner circle is Omaha Survivor.
Race 11 #5 Bobs Minute Maid ML 7/2 #7 Temperment ML 9/2 #10 Dawn’s Mist ML 6/1
This is a wide open race, and there are others here that could easily win. In all actuality, I would hit the “all” button. In picking one to play, I keep going back to the #7. She has posted two 81’s in a row, knows how to win and final times have improved.
Race 12 #1 Allamerican Bomber ML 3/1 #5 Look Yankee ML 4/1 #10 Giddy Up Boy ML 5/1
I’m going to stay with Giddy Up Boy in this pace. The angle here is Todd Warren back in the buggy. He has a good ROI with this gelding and I believe he is rounding back into form and has the class edge . There is plenty of other to choose so another race that you could justify the “all” button.
Race 13 #8 Kitty O’Brien ML 4/1
She is coming back off a claim where the trainer has a 52% ROI and Eric Carlson takes over the driving. This mare has been pacing real well, and only a lack of room pushed into a fourth last out. She gets back into her previous form she should take this group easily. Money Runner and Cole Star have to be considered, but banking on Kitty doing her job.
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