Last Sunday was another near miss in the $25,000 Guaranteed Pick 4, we had the first three races nailed. Race 7 started out with all three selections coming in and paying a $60.80 Trifecta. Race 8 Joinusforseomefun scored and our single in Race 9, Lookin’ Ahead went off at 3/1 and paid $7.60 to win. It was Race 10 that was our undoing, when Fax Me and Ajs April Doll came in 1 – 2. Our three selections finished 3-4-5 and the Pick 4 paid a nice $230.10. So the handicapping is solid but those two upset the apple cart. Actually I felt when our single hit we were home free, just another reminder how humbling this sport it. This being Wednesday, it’s the Guaranteed $15,000 Pick 4 at Balmoral, our stake is starting to get low, so we need to hit is this week. Let’s get it done this week!
Race 7 #7 Bellvalley Miracle ML 8/1 #9 Itzalassi ML 7/2 #10 Maranatha Hanover ML 9/2
I thought Maranatha Hanover was going to win last out as a favorite. I like her chances here, the only other speed on the front is the #9 which is usually driven by John Roberts, but since he owns, trains and drives Maranatha Hanover, he is obviously staying with her. Got that feeling this will be her night to return to the winners circle.
Race 8 #3 Leutenant General ML 8/1 #7 Lucky Life ML 6/1 #9 Gar ML 4/1
This was a tough race and there are several in here that could upset the ticket, Rocket Dog and Samstorm being just two. I’m going out on a limb and taking the #3 Leutenant General. Beware the shipper here coming in with good speed and class figures, good final times and has de Long in the buggy. This horse should sweep by this group and pick up a tag.
Race 9 #5 Candy N Apples ML 7/2 #8 Fox Valley Smooch ML 10/1 #9 Kennans Kelli ML 9/2
The #9 is dropping in class with excellent speed and class numbers and is hard to ignore here. The post position is the only thing that hurts this mare chances. While Hitman has a tough run of late, the trainer Joel Smith hasn’t, hitting a ROI of .400 with class droppers. She has an excellent shot here and will take it.
Race 10 #1 Kimberely R ML 4/1
She is by far the class and speed of this lineup. Not a lock with Mandy’s Gold and Plum Grove, but this filly has good front end speed and is in the one hole. If she gets a jump she could go wire to wire. She has won 3 of 6 this summer and ready to do it again. For the .50 Trifecta would add Mandy’s Gold and Chevie Fly Bye (dropping down in class).
Good luck and let's get off the "near misses".
Wednesday, September 7, 2011
Sunday, September 4, 2011
Tough ticket in the Guaranteed $25,000 Pick 4 at Balmoral
Last night we had a near miss on a $597.70 Pick 4. We started in good shape with Cole Snap winning Race 10 and then Matt Out Flying solos the 11th. Where we got derailed was in Race 12, when Bring The Rain snuck in and won it. My three selections finished second through fourth, close but no cigar. The last race was a nice ending, as all three choices did indeed come in 1-2-3 and close out a nice Trifecta for $111.60. Our balance is now down to $84.00.
Tonight is the $25,000 Guaranteed Pick 4 and it is one tough group of races. The first race, #7 is highly contentious and we could be done before the night even get’s started. We will buy a $24 ticket but in truth we could spend a lot more and still feel vulnerable.
Race 7 #3 Jackson Berlow ML 4/1 #4 Major Male ML 7/2 # Drive’em Cowboy ML 3/1
The major threat to this group are two horses is #1 Fox Valley Saint and #2 Fox Valley Libero but in the end I’m going with Jackson Berlow moving up in class with Miller in the buggy. He won last out with nice consistent figures and real improvement in final times. In the last three races, he has won twice with Miller driving, I lean to recent winners moving up in class.
Race 8 #2 Odds On Moinet ML 7/2 #4 Joinusforsomefun ML 4/1 #9 Ole Miss ML 6/1
I’m staying with Odds On Moinet again, really nice speed pairs of 83-82-83-82 and last out the post really hurt her. Class and speed are tops of this group and yes, A Night To Remember is back in again and blew our card up last weekend, but the #2 is ready to win.
Race 9 #9 Lookin’ Ahead ML 7/2
This 6YO gelding is rounding into form and is set up to take the purse tonight. Excellent class and speed ratings, closed down strongly from way back last week and the Wilfongs have a nice ROI together. Detailer is a threat and an improving Clapton Blue Chip could set up and take it. Overall, Lookin’ Ahead is the one to beat.
Race 10 #1 Mearl Finn ML 8/1 #4 Fox Valley Oracle ML 8/1 #7 Dee Dee Sage ML 4/1
Several familiar faces in this race and many I like but finally landed on #7 Dee Dee Sage at 4/1. Has been improving with each race, and has the speed and class to beat this group. She likes to race up close and I f she can stay out of trouble should tag this one.
Tonight is the $25,000 Guaranteed Pick 4 and it is one tough group of races. The first race, #7 is highly contentious and we could be done before the night even get’s started. We will buy a $24 ticket but in truth we could spend a lot more and still feel vulnerable.
Race 7 #3 Jackson Berlow ML 4/1 #4 Major Male ML 7/2 # Drive’em Cowboy ML 3/1
The major threat to this group are two horses is #1 Fox Valley Saint and #2 Fox Valley Libero but in the end I’m going with Jackson Berlow moving up in class with Miller in the buggy. He won last out with nice consistent figures and real improvement in final times. In the last three races, he has won twice with Miller driving, I lean to recent winners moving up in class.
Race 8 #2 Odds On Moinet ML 7/2 #4 Joinusforsomefun ML 4/1 #9 Ole Miss ML 6/1
I’m staying with Odds On Moinet again, really nice speed pairs of 83-82-83-82 and last out the post really hurt her. Class and speed are tops of this group and yes, A Night To Remember is back in again and blew our card up last weekend, but the #2 is ready to win.
Race 9 #9 Lookin’ Ahead ML 7/2
This 6YO gelding is rounding into form and is set up to take the purse tonight. Excellent class and speed ratings, closed down strongly from way back last week and the Wilfongs have a nice ROI together. Detailer is a threat and an improving Clapton Blue Chip could set up and take it. Overall, Lookin’ Ahead is the one to beat.
Race 10 #1 Mearl Finn ML 8/1 #4 Fox Valley Oracle ML 8/1 #7 Dee Dee Sage ML 4/1
Several familiar faces in this race and many I like but finally landed on #7 Dee Dee Sage at 4/1. Has been improving with each race, and has the speed and class to beat this group. She likes to race up close and I f she can stay out of trouble should tag this one.
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