On Wednesday we got close again to hitting the Pick 4 at Balmoral. First two races came in as predicted, but in the third race, our old friend, Mearl Finn scored. She has won for us before, and it is always tough to leave her off the ticket. She did a good job at 3/1. Tonight is the Guaranteed $20,000 Pick 4 and got a good feeling we got this one wired. Still holding to a $24 ticket, so if you add one or two more, you still could get some good value.
Race 10 #2 Delightful Five ML 3/1 #4 Major Monet ML 5/1 #8 Omaha Survivor ML 4/1
There are some nice horses in this pace but form is the question. We have had success with the #4 in the past but not sure if he is fading or going to rebound. I like Delightful Five in this spot. The last three races his speed fig’s have improved, has raced well and looks poised to capture a win. The one that could find his way back to the winner circle is Omaha Survivor.
Race 11 #5 Bobs Minute Maid ML 7/2 #7 Temperment ML 9/2 #10 Dawn’s Mist ML 6/1
This is a wide open race, and there are others here that could easily win. In all actuality, I would hit the “all” button. In picking one to play, I keep going back to the #7. She has posted two 81’s in a row, knows how to win and final times have improved.
Race 12 #1 Allamerican Bomber ML 3/1 #5 Look Yankee ML 4/1 #10 Giddy Up Boy ML 5/1
I’m going to stay with Giddy Up Boy in this pace. The angle here is Todd Warren back in the buggy. He has a good ROI with this gelding and I believe he is rounding back into form and has the class edge . There is plenty of other to choose so another race that you could justify the “all” button.
Race 13 #8 Kitty O’Brien ML 4/1
She is coming back off a claim where the trainer has a 52% ROI and Eric Carlson takes over the driving. This mare has been pacing real well, and only a lack of room pushed into a fourth last out. She gets back into her previous form she should take this group easily. Money Runner and Cole Star have to be considered, but banking on Kitty doing her job.
Saturday, October 1, 2011
Wednesday, September 28, 2011
Balmoral Guarantees $50,000 in the Pick 4 tonight!
We start tonight at Balmoral with a $50,000 Guaranteed Pick4! After a nice break, this is a great way to get back into the hunt to pull down Pick 4’s. The takeout is only 15%, and the guarantee is quite a jump from the usual $15,000. The Pick 4 is Race 7 through 10, we’re sticking with a $24 ticket, and the spread will be a 3-2-2-3. The selections are as follows:
Race 7 #1 Hot Laps ML 10/1 #6 Maximus Meridius N ML 4/1 #10 Rocket Dog ML 8/1
This race should be a battle between the #6 and #10, with Maximus Meridius N winning two in a row. You could also add Samstorm if you want to single Race 8. It’s hard not to stay with Maximus again, he is a great groove and final times are really strong, but for the value I will go with Rocket Dog. His last outing was super good, and strong improvement overall. I believe it’s time for him to be a winner.
Race 8 #3 Towne Nurse ML 5/2 #10 No Doubt ML 5/1
You could single this race with Towne Nurse, and I see no reason this 5YO mare can’t win her third in a row. The Cosling’s have her in a nice spot, winning five of seven, the only downside if the track is off, she could be vulnerable. No Doubt could come from the outside and take it, but will go chalk here with Towne Nurse.
Race 9 #1 Primrose Path ML 6/1 #5 Tinkers Damn ML 3/1
A lot of action will go to the #5 and Madison Paige, but I really like the consistent speed fig’s with Primrose Path. Last three races have been in the 70’s and she has reduced her final times in each race to an even 1:54. The last two races she had a onerous post and tonight she gets the inside, with Leonard in the buggy again, this should be her time to score.
Race 10 #6 Fox Valley Phoebe ML 8/1 #8 Frontier Belle ML 8/1 #9 What’sALittleRain ML 5/1
This race is wide open, and if you didn’t add Samstorm in Race 7 and singled Towne Nurse in the eighth you could add one more here. If you go that direction then consider, Sues Blue Pants. If I had to take one here, it would be the #6 Fox Valley Phoebe, she is dropping in class. In her first race at Balmoral she was not threat, but posted a strong 73 and a solid 1:54.4, her best time in a long time. Would consider this filly to be ready, and getting a better post this time out.
Race 7 #1 Hot Laps ML 10/1 #6 Maximus Meridius N ML 4/1 #10 Rocket Dog ML 8/1
This race should be a battle between the #6 and #10, with Maximus Meridius N winning two in a row. You could also add Samstorm if you want to single Race 8. It’s hard not to stay with Maximus again, he is a great groove and final times are really strong, but for the value I will go with Rocket Dog. His last outing was super good, and strong improvement overall. I believe it’s time for him to be a winner.
Race 8 #3 Towne Nurse ML 5/2 #10 No Doubt ML 5/1
You could single this race with Towne Nurse, and I see no reason this 5YO mare can’t win her third in a row. The Cosling’s have her in a nice spot, winning five of seven, the only downside if the track is off, she could be vulnerable. No Doubt could come from the outside and take it, but will go chalk here with Towne Nurse.
Race 9 #1 Primrose Path ML 6/1 #5 Tinkers Damn ML 3/1
A lot of action will go to the #5 and Madison Paige, but I really like the consistent speed fig’s with Primrose Path. Last three races have been in the 70’s and she has reduced her final times in each race to an even 1:54. The last two races she had a onerous post and tonight she gets the inside, with Leonard in the buggy again, this should be her time to score.
Race 10 #6 Fox Valley Phoebe ML 8/1 #8 Frontier Belle ML 8/1 #9 What’sALittleRain ML 5/1
This race is wide open, and if you didn’t add Samstorm in Race 7 and singled Towne Nurse in the eighth you could add one more here. If you go that direction then consider, Sues Blue Pants. If I had to take one here, it would be the #6 Fox Valley Phoebe, she is dropping in class. In her first race at Balmoral she was not threat, but posted a strong 73 and a solid 1:54.4, her best time in a long time. Would consider this filly to be ready, and getting a better post this time out.
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