Weekly Recap for the Clocker 4/1/2012

In the Orchid at Gulfstream yesterday, we had Hit It Rich and she won paying $7.20 and then the Saturday Night Special we pegged For Real Too at Penn National. She came in third at 4/1, honestly not sure if I would have played her, but even with a $12 stack bet, the show payout of $4 broke us even. What is even more strange about that race is the live longshot gets bet down to the favorite!  

So last week we started out with a profit of $53.60 ...

Monday:  We hit a place finish and had a net profit of $24.40
Tuesday:  No play
Wednesday:  No play
Thursday:  No play
Friday:  Itchy fingers cost us $6

That would have left us a profit of $18.40 for a combined profit of $72.

The challenge is that I'm not gleaning through 100+ races a day to find that perfect play, I'm taking the DRF race of the day or letting my mouse do the walking, so we never know what we get. The point is that you don't have to hit everyday to grind it out. The key is to hold to what is the value for that horse and race, if you don't get it, then pass. Hopefully this week we gets some action.  Today, will be reviewing the New Orleans Handicap at FG over at horseplayersassociation.org.  That is one loaded race, and I'm still scratching my head on it.

See you all tomorrow!    

Saturday Night Special: Penn Natl 4th Race

I was scanning the entries this afternoon and found an interesting spot play.  It's the 4th race at Penn National, an Allowance race($36,000N1X) for 4YO+ fillies and mares, going a mile on the dirt.  Most like the #1 for the live longshot play, and she is interesting, however when I look deeper into the lineup I found the ...

#9 For Real Too ML 8/1

The attraction is this 4YO filly, is  lightly raced, has won 3 of 11 starts, those being 3 in a row.  She is shipping in from Parx, where she started her 4YO season, and it was a vast improvement from her last effort at Monmouth.  You'll notice she improved on each point of the call, her Beyer popped up to a 66.  Today, Bruce Levine cuts her back in distance (1 win in three attempts, with 2 seconds) and he puts on Cora, who is having a great meet with 21% wins.  What adds to this is Bruce Levine having an excellent record with 2OFF (26%) and 24% win record in Allowance races.  In summary, the angle is a top trainer, shipping in off a good first start and adding a top jockey.  Now if we can get better than 8/1 it would be a Saturday Night Special!