We got the price on Precision Farming at Gulfstream yesterday, 15/1, sadly we didn't get the result. I'm not sure how I would have played it, she had shown issues in the past, and felt lukewarm all the way around, maybe one unit to win and let it go at that. Today is Thursday, so it must be Aqueduct! It feels like every Thursday the DRF tosses us a race from there and today is no exception.
It's the 7th race, a Optional Claimer for $75,000 non winners of one etc. I will refrain writing out the conditions today. It's for 3YO going 6F on the inner track. A nice field of 8 lightly raced 3YO's have entered and this group is tough. There are several I like in here, especially the #3 and #4, either one show they can handle this one, and if we could a decent value I would take #3 Copy My Swagger ML 3/1 in a flash, but I don't think it will be there. So where do we go to get some value in this bunch.
If the tote plays out right and the money falls on the #3 and #4, and we can assume money will land on #8 Behemoth ML 5/1, Pletcher's horse, we might get some play on the #6 Sportswriter ML 5/2. This is a straight angle play. He won two back at this distance on the inner track, cutting back today, improving Beyer's, Rudy Rodriquez is having a great meet, and he puts Dominquez on board (who is red hot). There is no doubt he will need a strong effort today, for he mainly has faced state breds, but there are times you have to go with the flow. There is an old saying, the trend is your friend and when you find a hot trainer/jockey combo, you foresake form and go with it. Let's see how the tote treats us, but he will be a good play if he can bust over 5/1.
Thursday, March 15, 2012
Wednesday, March 14, 2012
Price Play: 6th Race at Gulfstream Park 3/14/12
Last night in the 8th race at Charles Town we hit the board with Omara Devil coming in second at 15/1. As expected, Silver Heart won the race, but was surprising is Bahia Beach going off as the favorite. With Omara Devil with a morning line of 5/1 and getting a nice overlay at 15/1, I would have stacked my wagers. One unit win, two to place and three to show. That would mean at $2 per unit a $12 investment and returned $25.80.
Today, we go to Gulfstream Park for the 6th race, going 5 1/2 furlongs on the grass. It's an Optional claiming event for 4YO+, fillies and mares that have never won $7500 twice other than maiden, claiming starter of state bred or which have never won 3 races or claiming price $62,500. So those broad conditions bring us a field of 10, and several good horses.
It's easy to see the #5, 6, and 7 are the top ones and you could toss in the #1 and #10 as outsiders. So I went to find a price play in this event and found the #8 Precision Farming ML 12/1 to be intriguing. She made her 6YO debut here last month at this level and was closing down on some these in that event. The place horse two back went on to win at this level with a Beyer in the mid 80's, and Linda Rice is bringing her back promptly. No doubt there has been issues of some kind in the past, seeing she has raced only 15 times in 4 years, but she has won 5, and has shown speed to beat these ladies. I do like Linda Rice horses, and Lezcano is back on board. He is having a good meet, and that might signal she is ready to go today. Also, she is getting an extra 1/2 furlong today, and she has won at this distance and at 6F, this small stretch out might be just the tonic.
We need 12/1 or higher, and not sure how to wager as I would have to see the odds at post time. Good luck and will see you all tomorrow.
Today, we go to Gulfstream Park for the 6th race, going 5 1/2 furlongs on the grass. It's an Optional claiming event for 4YO+, fillies and mares that have never won $7500 twice other than maiden, claiming starter of state bred or which have never won 3 races or claiming price $62,500. So those broad conditions bring us a field of 10, and several good horses.
It's easy to see the #5, 6, and 7 are the top ones and you could toss in the #1 and #10 as outsiders. So I went to find a price play in this event and found the #8 Precision Farming ML 12/1 to be intriguing. She made her 6YO debut here last month at this level and was closing down on some these in that event. The place horse two back went on to win at this level with a Beyer in the mid 80's, and Linda Rice is bringing her back promptly. No doubt there has been issues of some kind in the past, seeing she has raced only 15 times in 4 years, but she has won 5, and has shown speed to beat these ladies. I do like Linda Rice horses, and Lezcano is back on board. He is having a good meet, and that might signal she is ready to go today. Also, she is getting an extra 1/2 furlong today, and she has won at this distance and at 6F, this small stretch out might be just the tonic.
We need 12/1 or higher, and not sure how to wager as I would have to see the odds at post time. Good luck and will see you all tomorrow.
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