This morning I took a look at the results for the Pick 4 last night at Balmoral. I have to admit I took a long blink not seeing one of my selections winning. I believe that has happened only once before, then I looked at the payoff and saw $3000+ and knew it was long shot city. Tonight is the Guaranteed $25,000 Pick 4 and here go … (Note this is a $36 ticket tonight)
Race 7 #1 Boiler Heidi Ho ML 3/1 #3 Vegas Venture ML 7/2
I could single the #1 easily. This 8YO mare has won 2 of the last 4, she is one of the best in the Wilfong barn. Her speed fig’s are rolling along nicely. We have to keep an eye on Vegas Venture, while her speed isn’t there she is a recent winner and Marcus Miller is in the buggy, that alone makes her dangerous.
Race 8 #4 Skinny Jeans ML 5/1 #5 Waiting and Hoping ML 7/2 #7 Redhot Hart ML 3/1
We had Skinny Jeans before and finished 5th after coming off a layoff. Her past speed figures should dominate this group and could single her too. I do like the #5, moving up in class, respectable speed (71-73-76) and has Miller driving.
Race 9 #2 Wolf Creek Pass ML 5/1 #3 Powerful Speed ML 3/1
I like Wolf Creek Pass here, last out he broke before the start and never recovered. Has good speed and John Roberts drives him well. Powerful Speed will be tough with a recent win, not sure how much that last one took out of him. It will be a close race.
Race 10 #1 Freddy To Rumble ML 7/2 #4 Mr Casual ML 12/1 #8 Rockme Amadeous ML 6/1
This is the most contentious race of the evening. All of them have had a measure of success in recent times but will go with the class dropping Rockme Amadeous. He won two back, has Marcus Miller back in the driver seat and Procopi is back training this 4YO gelding. The speed and success along with the high winning percentage connections say’s the #8 can take this one.
Sunday, October 30, 2011
Saturday, October 29, 2011
Guaranteed $20,000 Pick 4 Balmoral Selections for Tonight
Last Sunday, we were well on our way with three winners in a row until Little Kiera decided to derail our Pick 4 ticket. The 5YO mare won at 28-1 and paid a nice huge $59.20 and the Pick 4 paid off at $1267! So tonight we have the $20,000 Guaranteed Pick 4 at Balmoral, and the ticket looks pretty tight so with our $24 investment we have a good chance to snag this one. It will be a beautiful night in Crete so if you are in the area head out there. The Pick 4 starts with Race 10.
Race 10 #1A Major Tipper ML 8/1 #6 NJ’S Fast Fletch ML 9/2 #9 Rocket Dog ML 10/1
This was a fun race to handicap. Major Tipper should be the one to beat. He has posted a nice pair of 79’s and Seekman has driven him into contention in the last two. This should be the race where he nails the finish line. I’ve been a big fan of Rocket Dog and he could surprise here too. The things that l like about the #9 is the consistent speed fig’s, Costing takes over the buggy and with Phillips they have won .339 of the time. He has been knocking on the door and this race fits him well.
Race 11 #3 Special Promise ML 8/1 #7 Reilly’s Daughter ML 3/1 #10 Temperment ML 8/1
I’m going with #3 Special Promise here. A recent winner and moving up in class with DeLong driving. Granted her speed doesn’t hold too many in this one, but she is razor sharp and sits right in this one. From a pure speed play, Reilly’s Daughter should smoke them all if she breaks free.
Race 12 #2 Major Monet ML 7/2 #9 REI Rogers 10/1
I actually had Major Monet singled here but couldn’t find a third to play in Race 13 so added the #9. Major Monet post highly consistent speed figures and solid times. Has been close two of the last three and has the front end speed to go out and hold off this group. I like the #9 based on moving up in class, and as most know I favor those types.
Race 13 #3 Cole Blue ML 6/1 # 10 Maid Money ML 3/1
I found it hard to get excited about any of these in this race. We have been successful with Cole Blue in the past but would go with Maid Money. She has one win and two seconds (by a nose in both) at this level. If Roberts gets this filly out on the front end, has an excellent chance of taking the win.
Race 10 #1A Major Tipper ML 8/1 #6 NJ’S Fast Fletch ML 9/2 #9 Rocket Dog ML 10/1
This was a fun race to handicap. Major Tipper should be the one to beat. He has posted a nice pair of 79’s and Seekman has driven him into contention in the last two. This should be the race where he nails the finish line. I’ve been a big fan of Rocket Dog and he could surprise here too. The things that l like about the #9 is the consistent speed fig’s, Costing takes over the buggy and with Phillips they have won .339 of the time. He has been knocking on the door and this race fits him well.
Race 11 #3 Special Promise ML 8/1 #7 Reilly’s Daughter ML 3/1 #10 Temperment ML 8/1
I’m going with #3 Special Promise here. A recent winner and moving up in class with DeLong driving. Granted her speed doesn’t hold too many in this one, but she is razor sharp and sits right in this one. From a pure speed play, Reilly’s Daughter should smoke them all if she breaks free.
Race 12 #2 Major Monet ML 7/2 #9 REI Rogers 10/1
I actually had Major Monet singled here but couldn’t find a third to play in Race 13 so added the #9. Major Monet post highly consistent speed figures and solid times. Has been close two of the last three and has the front end speed to go out and hold off this group. I like the #9 based on moving up in class, and as most know I favor those types.
Race 13 #3 Cole Blue ML 6/1 # 10 Maid Money ML 3/1
I found it hard to get excited about any of these in this race. We have been successful with Cole Blue in the past but would go with Maid Money. She has one win and two seconds (by a nose in both) at this level. If Roberts gets this filly out on the front end, has an excellent chance of taking the win.
Sunday, October 23, 2011
Guaranteed $25,000 Pick 4 Balmoral Selections for Tonight
I want to thank all of my readers for your patience the last couple of weeks. I’ve kicked this nasty cold finally and now back to find that elusive Pick 4 ticket. As a reminder, we play ten horses at a budget ticket of $24. Our goal is to handicap tightly and win small Pick 4 pots. So tonight is the Guaranteed $25,000 Pick 4 at Balmoral Park.
Race 7 #1 Runaway Desirae ML 8/1 #7 Shes Lovin It ML 3/1 #9 Like Your Style ML 7/2
I’m going to stick with Shes Lovin it in this race. She has posted some nice final times and can string good speed figures. Has been in the money 4 of the last 5 with a win and Nick Giberson does well with 2YO’s. I find interesting that Giberson makes a driver change, the shakeup could put her back on track. I also like the first time starter, #1 Runaway Desirae.
Race 8 #2 Powerful Speed ML 4/1 #8 The Evictor ML 7/2
I thought of singling the #2 trotter. This 4YO has posted impressive speed numbers in the past and see no reason for him not to return to that form. The Evictor is the only one that has shown the potential to run with him. It’s a two horse race.
Race 9 #2 Jamaica Hanover ML 5/1 #3 Devachan ML 3/1 #7 Mearl Finn ML 10/1
This is the contentious race of the night. I will go with Devachan here due to nice pairs of 80’s, final times have been good and consistent. You can’t ignore Jamaica Hanover, who has had a good history at Balmoral. Finally, I added Mearl Finn, she got roughed up last out, but can race fast and might just sneak past Devachan.
Race 10 #2 Tinkers Damn ML 3/1 #6 Skinny Jeans ML 5/1
You could feel comfortable singling the #2 in this race. Toss out the last race, and you see a horse that knows how to be there in the end. Adding Skinny Jeans mainly due to the fact she has flashed hot speed fig’s in the past and Carpenter drives this mare real well. If you want to play the fifty cent trifecta, add #8 Kennans Nancy Lee.
Race 7 #1 Runaway Desirae ML 8/1 #7 Shes Lovin It ML 3/1 #9 Like Your Style ML 7/2
I’m going to stick with Shes Lovin it in this race. She has posted some nice final times and can string good speed figures. Has been in the money 4 of the last 5 with a win and Nick Giberson does well with 2YO’s. I find interesting that Giberson makes a driver change, the shakeup could put her back on track. I also like the first time starter, #1 Runaway Desirae.
Race 8 #2 Powerful Speed ML 4/1 #8 The Evictor ML 7/2
I thought of singling the #2 trotter. This 4YO has posted impressive speed numbers in the past and see no reason for him not to return to that form. The Evictor is the only one that has shown the potential to run with him. It’s a two horse race.
Race 9 #2 Jamaica Hanover ML 5/1 #3 Devachan ML 3/1 #7 Mearl Finn ML 10/1
This is the contentious race of the night. I will go with Devachan here due to nice pairs of 80’s, final times have been good and consistent. You can’t ignore Jamaica Hanover, who has had a good history at Balmoral. Finally, I added Mearl Finn, she got roughed up last out, but can race fast and might just sneak past Devachan.
Race 10 #2 Tinkers Damn ML 3/1 #6 Skinny Jeans ML 5/1
You could feel comfortable singling the #2 in this race. Toss out the last race, and you see a horse that knows how to be there in the end. Adding Skinny Jeans mainly due to the fact she has flashed hot speed fig’s in the past and Carpenter drives this mare real well. If you want to play the fifty cent trifecta, add #8 Kennans Nancy Lee.
Saturday, October 22, 2011
Balmoral Pick 4 Selections returns tomorrow night
Finally have kicked this cold and will be posting tomorrow nights $25,000 Guaranteed Pick 4 Selections for Balmoral Park.
Saturday, October 15, 2011
No Selections for Balmoral this weekend
I apologize but due to illness I'll not be posting selections this weekend for Balmoral Park Pick 4.
See you this Wednesday!
See you this Wednesday!
Sunday, October 9, 2011
Pick 4 selections for Sunday's Guaranteed $25,000 at Balmoral park
Last night we scored a small Pick 4 payoff of $127.80 on our $24 ticket. I’ll take it, in fact, will take those two days a week! Tonight is the Guaranteed $25,000 Pick 4 so let’s get started and see if we can snag two in a row.
Race 7 #2 Lotsa Cotton ML 6/1 #9 Zellers Island ML 5/1 #10 Perfect Timing ML 3/1
I like Lotsa Cotton so much I gave thought of singling him here. His last two races have been solid with nice speed figures of 70 – 71 and flashes the best final times of anyone in this race. The outsider in this race is Big Black Mac who came in second last out showing a 71 speed number.
Race 8 #3 Tinkers Damn ML 4/1
She is rounding into top form and Kincley always does well with her. I don’t really see anyone else here that can challenge this 8YO mare and expect another big race from her. She is always around the money and with speed she should finally find the winners circle at Balmoral.
Race 9 #1 Maplegrove Shaelyn ML 3/1 #6 Bonnie’s Star ML 8/1 #7 Fox Valley Ruffian ML 7/2
In this race which is highly competitive I see the #1 coming back after that last race and winning. She shows great speed and class and should beat this group back as she drops in class. The chaser here is Fox Valley Ruffian, she too shows great speed and finished second to Maplegrove Shaelyn and Husted brings out the best in her.
Race 10 #2 Hereiam Coolwater ML 10/1 #4 Accountable Lady ML 7/2 #7 Fox Valley Malibu ML 10/1
If there was a race to punch the “all” button this is it. Highly contentious and several could easily upset. A true ticket buster for a pick 4. All in all, going to go with #2 Hereiam Coolwater. Great speed, has won two of her last three and Curtin her trainer gets into the buggy. The only one to challenge is the #4 if she finds her form.
Race 7 #2 Lotsa Cotton ML 6/1 #9 Zellers Island ML 5/1 #10 Perfect Timing ML 3/1
I like Lotsa Cotton so much I gave thought of singling him here. His last two races have been solid with nice speed figures of 70 – 71 and flashes the best final times of anyone in this race. The outsider in this race is Big Black Mac who came in second last out showing a 71 speed number.
Race 8 #3 Tinkers Damn ML 4/1
She is rounding into top form and Kincley always does well with her. I don’t really see anyone else here that can challenge this 8YO mare and expect another big race from her. She is always around the money and with speed she should finally find the winners circle at Balmoral.
Race 9 #1 Maplegrove Shaelyn ML 3/1 #6 Bonnie’s Star ML 8/1 #7 Fox Valley Ruffian ML 7/2
In this race which is highly competitive I see the #1 coming back after that last race and winning. She shows great speed and class and should beat this group back as she drops in class. The chaser here is Fox Valley Ruffian, she too shows great speed and finished second to Maplegrove Shaelyn and Husted brings out the best in her.
Race 10 #2 Hereiam Coolwater ML 10/1 #4 Accountable Lady ML 7/2 #7 Fox Valley Malibu ML 10/1
If there was a race to punch the “all” button this is it. Highly contentious and several could easily upset. A true ticket buster for a pick 4. All in all, going to go with #2 Hereiam Coolwater. Great speed, has won two of her last three and Curtin her trainer gets into the buggy. The only one to challenge is the #4 if she finds her form.
Saturday, October 8, 2011
Pick 4 selections for Saturday's Guaranteed $20,000 at Balmoral Park
Tonight is the $20,000 Guaranteed Pick 4 at Balmoral Park. I’m going to stick with my $24 ticket, but must admit almost wavered and add two more horses in the 13th race. I will mention the two that I would’ve added when we get down to that race. The Pick 4 will start at Race 10, and here are the selections.
Race 10 #5 Fools Gold ML 3/1 #7 Well To Do Guru ML 7/2 #8 Big Daddy Woo Woo ML 5/1
This race is an Invitational Handicap so we are going to see some strong entries. Big Daddy Woo Woo should end up being the favorite, but I’m going with Fools Gold. He has been posting strong speed fig’s and won three back here at Balmoral in a handicap race. Marcus Miller has driven him twice and won both times. His final times are competitive against both the #8 and the #7 Well To Do Guru. I expect he will slide off to a good price.
Race 11 #1 Unity Road ML 3/1 #4 Blueridgevalentino ML 8/1 #5 Polaris 6/1
Blueridgevalentino is moving up in class after winning three in a row. He has shown nice improvement in his speed and Carlson has him in a nice groove. While Unity Road will be tough, I like the improving #4 in this spot. The spoiler in this race is Smiling Bob coming out of the 8 hole.
Race 12 #2 Fiveknuckleshuffle ML 4/1 #6 Bill’s Boy ML 8/1 #8 Masterchargeit ML 5/1
This is the wide open race of the four. It is the race you want to hit the “all” button and root for the “bomber” to score and push the winning ticket into the four figures. Sadly, I had to pick three and find a winner. I could argue a case for several here, will stay with Masterchargeit dropping down in class. He has shown the best consistent speed for this group, and Michael Cox does well in dropping horses down into these spots. I do like the #2 a great deal and believe he has a good shot of upsetting.
Race 13 #10 KB’s Robby ML 9/2
This race is a Claiming Handicap and it draws some interesting plays. Right now it’s hard to go against the #10. John Roberts has this gelding hitting a nice consistent speed figures in the 80’s and finishing well. He knows how to win, and see no reason not to take this one. The others here that I liked were, #5 Oh Poncho and #3 NJ’s Super Charger.
Race 10 #5 Fools Gold ML 3/1 #7 Well To Do Guru ML 7/2 #8 Big Daddy Woo Woo ML 5/1
This race is an Invitational Handicap so we are going to see some strong entries. Big Daddy Woo Woo should end up being the favorite, but I’m going with Fools Gold. He has been posting strong speed fig’s and won three back here at Balmoral in a handicap race. Marcus Miller has driven him twice and won both times. His final times are competitive against both the #8 and the #7 Well To Do Guru. I expect he will slide off to a good price.
Race 11 #1 Unity Road ML 3/1 #4 Blueridgevalentino ML 8/1 #5 Polaris 6/1
Blueridgevalentino is moving up in class after winning three in a row. He has shown nice improvement in his speed and Carlson has him in a nice groove. While Unity Road will be tough, I like the improving #4 in this spot. The spoiler in this race is Smiling Bob coming out of the 8 hole.
Race 12 #2 Fiveknuckleshuffle ML 4/1 #6 Bill’s Boy ML 8/1 #8 Masterchargeit ML 5/1
This is the wide open race of the four. It is the race you want to hit the “all” button and root for the “bomber” to score and push the winning ticket into the four figures. Sadly, I had to pick three and find a winner. I could argue a case for several here, will stay with Masterchargeit dropping down in class. He has shown the best consistent speed for this group, and Michael Cox does well in dropping horses down into these spots. I do like the #2 a great deal and believe he has a good shot of upsetting.
Race 13 #10 KB’s Robby ML 9/2
This race is a Claiming Handicap and it draws some interesting plays. Right now it’s hard to go against the #10. John Roberts has this gelding hitting a nice consistent speed figures in the 80’s and finishing well. He knows how to win, and see no reason not to take this one. The others here that I liked were, #5 Oh Poncho and #3 NJ’s Super Charger.
Saturday, October 1, 2011
Balmoral $20,000 Pick 4 Selections for Saturday 10/1
On Wednesday we got close again to hitting the Pick 4 at Balmoral. First two races came in as predicted, but in the third race, our old friend, Mearl Finn scored. She has won for us before, and it is always tough to leave her off the ticket. She did a good job at 3/1. Tonight is the Guaranteed $20,000 Pick 4 and got a good feeling we got this one wired. Still holding to a $24 ticket, so if you add one or two more, you still could get some good value.
Race 10 #2 Delightful Five ML 3/1 #4 Major Monet ML 5/1 #8 Omaha Survivor ML 4/1
There are some nice horses in this pace but form is the question. We have had success with the #4 in the past but not sure if he is fading or going to rebound. I like Delightful Five in this spot. The last three races his speed fig’s have improved, has raced well and looks poised to capture a win. The one that could find his way back to the winner circle is Omaha Survivor.
Race 11 #5 Bobs Minute Maid ML 7/2 #7 Temperment ML 9/2 #10 Dawn’s Mist ML 6/1
This is a wide open race, and there are others here that could easily win. In all actuality, I would hit the “all” button. In picking one to play, I keep going back to the #7. She has posted two 81’s in a row, knows how to win and final times have improved.
Race 12 #1 Allamerican Bomber ML 3/1 #5 Look Yankee ML 4/1 #10 Giddy Up Boy ML 5/1
I’m going to stay with Giddy Up Boy in this pace. The angle here is Todd Warren back in the buggy. He has a good ROI with this gelding and I believe he is rounding back into form and has the class edge . There is plenty of other to choose so another race that you could justify the “all” button.
Race 13 #8 Kitty O’Brien ML 4/1
She is coming back off a claim where the trainer has a 52% ROI and Eric Carlson takes over the driving. This mare has been pacing real well, and only a lack of room pushed into a fourth last out. She gets back into her previous form she should take this group easily. Money Runner and Cole Star have to be considered, but banking on Kitty doing her job.
Race 10 #2 Delightful Five ML 3/1 #4 Major Monet ML 5/1 #8 Omaha Survivor ML 4/1
There are some nice horses in this pace but form is the question. We have had success with the #4 in the past but not sure if he is fading or going to rebound. I like Delightful Five in this spot. The last three races his speed fig’s have improved, has raced well and looks poised to capture a win. The one that could find his way back to the winner circle is Omaha Survivor.
Race 11 #5 Bobs Minute Maid ML 7/2 #7 Temperment ML 9/2 #10 Dawn’s Mist ML 6/1
This is a wide open race, and there are others here that could easily win. In all actuality, I would hit the “all” button. In picking one to play, I keep going back to the #7. She has posted two 81’s in a row, knows how to win and final times have improved.
Race 12 #1 Allamerican Bomber ML 3/1 #5 Look Yankee ML 4/1 #10 Giddy Up Boy ML 5/1
I’m going to stay with Giddy Up Boy in this pace. The angle here is Todd Warren back in the buggy. He has a good ROI with this gelding and I believe he is rounding back into form and has the class edge . There is plenty of other to choose so another race that you could justify the “all” button.
Race 13 #8 Kitty O’Brien ML 4/1
She is coming back off a claim where the trainer has a 52% ROI and Eric Carlson takes over the driving. This mare has been pacing real well, and only a lack of room pushed into a fourth last out. She gets back into her previous form she should take this group easily. Money Runner and Cole Star have to be considered, but banking on Kitty doing her job.
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