Last night my Pick 4 got creamed. I knew I was in trouble when Vette Man won the 10th race. I had a bad feeling leaving him off the ticket but someone had to go, wrong one. One thing you learn about race handicapping is how humbling it can be, get cocky winning or getting close and then a rough lesson is handed to you. Yesterday for me was such a lesson. So starting over and getting back to the 3-3-3-1 routine and staying focused we may get back on track. Last night the Pick 4 paid $5608.30, nice pay day! We will continue with our $27 ticket and our balance is now $132.10. Here we go …
Race 7 #2 Towneism ML 5/2 #5 Bell Valley Zeke ML 5/1 #6 Majestic Royale 3/1
I’m with Majestic Royale here. Has back to back 2nd’s and last race showed some form improvement. Consistent speed figures and Leonard does well this gelding. Going to throw out Bell Valley Zeke last outing where he was parked outside. Has strong speed pairings and John Roberts has great ROI here.
Race 8 #2 Fox Valley Oracle ML 5/1 #5 Bob’s Minute Maid ML 6/1 Joinusforsomefun ML 4/1
This is the tough race of the four. Highly contentious and Nite to Remember will be a factor. I’m going with Bob’s Minute Maid to win this race. Smolin hasn’t won with her yet, but she showed great improvement last outing. Her speed figures get better with each race, and she knocked off some time last going.
Race 9 #1 Hitithard ML 9/1 #6 Classy Chassy ML 10/1 #10 Lookin’ Ahead ML 4/1
Another difficult race and thought of singling #1 Hitithard here, but still like Classy Chassy. I went back and watched the race, and she was boxed in all the way to the stretch, she moved up smartly but there was no room to clear, losing by 3 lengths. Her speed stays in the 80’s and Roberts has a .348 ROI with her. If she can get out and clear the field she has a great chance to win.
Race 10 #8 Little Gus ML 3/1
His last race was a nice stair step improvement through each call. Speed pairs well at 75-76 and pushed last out to the end. The one that we need to watch is Rejoiceandbeglad that is moving up in class off a solid win. She hasn’t gone as fast as Little Gus but recent winners moving up give me to pause. Otherwise, I don’t see anyone else getting close.
The ticket looks a bit chalky with no real longshots, but didn't see anything that looked threatening. Looking at Classy Chassy as the price play of the group. So let's finish the weekend of with a nice ticket to cash!
Good luck to all of you ...
