So much for looking a bit too far back on Carnivore. I was surprised that Hernandez took him to the front going wide to get there, especially from the outside. I admit I would have played him at 4/1 but not a great effort. So today as punishment we will play the 7th at Aqueduct. It's a maiden special weight($55K) for 3YO+ fillies racing a mile.
Out of the field of 10 we have two career maidens and two first time starters, which I'll pass on. The one I like will be the favorite so I tossed in a horse that can get a price and has the ability to surprise.
Pick:
#1a Bent On Glory ML 2/1
This Linda Rice 3YO is making her third start after a show finish here at Aqueduct on the inner track going a mile and 70. That race was a big improvement over her first start, the place horse went on to win with a 60 Beyer (key race angle), and she gets a four pound weight break. Linda Rice isn't known as a maiden killer but this filly looks like she is trending in the right direction. The cut back in distance suits her, unfortunately for us the odds don't.
Price Play:
#4 Elusive Rumour ML 6/1
Like the #1a this filly is making her third start, sadly the second effort was a dud. I'm going to toss it as a troubled trip and go with the solid breeding and Albertrani. He has a decent record with maidens, he is putting Alvarado back on and we have the good old sprint to route play. Her workouts have been a bit better than in January, she is off the inside (tough on the inner track) and is stretching out. Madiens are tough no matter what, and I see no reason she doesn't bounce back and win it.
