Monday, May 7, 2012

Play of the Day: 6th Parx Racing 5/7/2012

Today in the 6th at Parx Racing we get a great Maiden Special Weight ($45,000) angle.  The race is over the dirt for 3YO's and the field of ten is going seven furlongs.  The action will go to Alan Goldberg's #3 Mezzano ML 5/2.  He actually should be 3/2 or better based on his first effort over the Parx course finishing 2nd and posting a 71 Beyer.  It looked like the only thing preventing him from winning off the pace was room, I'm sure with Elliott taking over you'll see a different race.  If we got 5/2 on him I would consider playing him as the favorite.

Thinking 5/2 won't hold on Mezzano, I'm looking at the #3 Wise Guy Charlie ML 5/1 as the play of the day.  The angle is solid for today's race.  Shipping in from Gulfstream Park after two efforts and heavily bet on.  He gets a new trainer in the always dangerous, Chad Brown, were he wins 32% with first timers under his tutelage. He cuts him back in distance from his last race, a mile to seven furlongs, and jockey switch to Carmouche, who is winning 25% of his mounts. He likes to get out on the lead, and see no one else really challenging him out there. Toss in four solid workouts, one being a bullet, and he looks ready to graduate today.  I have him as my second pick behind Mezzano at 7/2.  So anything above that and he is a solid for the action.