Saturday, November 12, 2011

Guaranteed $20,000 Pick 4 Balmoral Selections

Tonight at Balmoral we have four stake races for the $20,000 Guaranteed Pick 4.

Race 7 #4 Swinging Beauty ML 3/1 #6 Honky Tonk Woman 9/2 #7 Mystical MJ ML 8/1

The first race is a one mile pace for 3YO fillies. This race is wide open compared to the other three offerings, and while Fresh Idea will be the favorite, I don’t see her holding up against this field. I’m going out on a limb and picking #7 Mystical MJ. She has raced very well at Balmoral, nice consistent speed figures and Marcus Miller in the buggy. It might be a reach compared to others, but thinking with her experience at the Park and Miller might give her a big advantage.

Race 8 #1 Lucky Jim ML 5/2 #5 Hot Shot Blue Chip ML 7/2 # Sir Caviar ML 8/1

Here we have a one mile trot for 4YO and up and the field tightens up considerably. I’m going with Sir Caviar brings in 4 wins in a row and stepping up in class. His speed fig’s are moving in the right direction, 94-94-99-100 and see nothing but upside. Lucky Jim is a huge factor with Miller driving and the ability to go real fast. He has been a touch inconsistent and have to go with Sir Caviar.

Race 9 #4 Foiled Again ML 7/2

In this one mile pace for 4YO and upward Foiled Again sticks out. Has won 13 of 27 this season, speed is over 100 consistently and Gingras drives. There are other good pacers in this field but the #4 is just faster and classer.

Race 10 #1 Betterthancheddar ML 3/1 #4 Dutch Richman ML 8/1 #6 He’s So Hot ML 8/1

The last stake race is a one mile pace for 3YO colts and geldings. The #1 will be the favorite and is well deserved. Brennan is driving this speedy colt who will be looking to win his 4th in a row. However, I’m going with #6 He’s So Hot, the angle here is that He’s So Hot has won 3 of 4 here at Balmoral and Todd Warren is back in the driver’s seat. While not as fast as Betterthancheddar, I’m thinking the home track favorite will out fox the invaders and pull it off.