We rolled into Balmoral with one of two Pick 4’s under our belt for the week. Sunday was the Guaranteed $25,000 Pick 4. Yesterday, I handicapped the four races and listed the ticket. Keeping the Pick 4 ticket to $27, this allows us to use ten horses in any combination. Right now I have been using the 1 – 3 – 3 – 3 method. The concept is to find one strong favorite to single and then spreading out over three horses in the other three races. The idea in handicapping for three horses is to find the favorite, a solid horse with odds around 3/1 to 8/1 and then the best longshot. The goal is for the single to win, of course, and have the largest payouts win the other three races for a big Pick 4 ticket. Worse case, if the favorites win out over the four races we walk away with something. Well last night Balmoral had a super large Pick 4 ticket, $12,841.50. Unfortunately, I didn’t have the right longshots on the ticket. Here is the recap:
R7 #Temperment won going off at 11/1. When I looked at this race, I considered her but shifted over to Devachan. It was a tough decision and no regrets.
R8 #Detailer with odds of 10/1 was the winner. This is another one that I took a long look at but chose Classy Chassy instead. With these two longshots hitting you knew this Pick 4 was going to be large.
R9 #3 Reilly’s Daughter went off as the favorite and shot down the rail to win. This one was on our ticket. Little surprised she went off the favorite the ML had her around 5/1.
R10 #10 Miss Kelley Lynne (who I had in the 50 cent Trifecta) rolled in the winner at 23/1!! I had this race for the single with Forcryingoutloud who finished 2nd. Missed the 50 cent Trifecta with Osage coming in 5th.
As I mentioned before the payout for the Pick 4 was $12,841.50 a monster night! That now leaves us with a profit of $186.10. See you on Wednesday for the $15,000 Guaranteed Pick 4 at Balmoral.
