Well a long shot won yesterday in the 8th race at Turf Paradise, unfortunately it wasn't our selection. Bell Biltz broke out nicely and then faded away, so much for the change of venue. Today, we head to Oklahoma to try our hand with a group of maidens going 5 1/2 furlongs for $21,600. I've never handicapped Will Rogers Downs, and this group of 12 has little experience, except two. I will avoid the first time starters here and go with the #5 Konawa Slew ML 5/1.
He has had two nice races, the last one brought out a 62 Beyer, which is above par for this group. I also like how he improved his position at each call from his first outing, he stayed close and then fell off at the end. Both the winner and place horses have gone on to win again, so you have the key horse angle here. The trainer, Offolter, has a solid record, especially with maidens and layoffs. No jockey or weight changes to concern ourselves with. The big issue will the crowd jump on board? If the odds drop below 3/1 then we layoff the play. It's a crowded field so the money could get spread around.
Record:
Selections: 5
Wins: 1
Place: 0
Show: 1
