Wednesday, April 4, 2012

Play of the Day: Ist Race @ Aqueduct 4/4/2012

Last night at Mountaineer, our choice Holiday Dreaming got up for a show finish, but she went the wrong way on the tote board. Morning line of 8/1 and out of the gate at 6/1. There was no value at 6/1 so there would be no play . Today, we go to Aqueduct to play one of my horses from my virtual stable.

It's the 1st Race on the card, a claiming race of $15,000 for fillies and mares, 3YO and upwards. The additional conditions are non winners of 3 races or 4YO that have not won since October 4th.  The 8 entrants will be going 6 panels for a purse of $26,000.

#8 Time Marches On ML 6/1

She started her 4YO season by breaking her maiden going 6F and then bounced off her second effort by winning at the $15,000 Claiming level for non winners of 2.  Her speed fig's are lagging to this bunch, but I think we will see an improvement as she matures. Several of the horses from her past, have gone on to win with Beyer's in the 70's and 90's, so she has the capability.  Toss out that effort in February, I watched the race replay and she hopped at the start, and made no effort after that. I'm thinking Garcia,  let her gallop around and wait for another day.    I like the Englehart/Garcia connection, hitting 22% of the time for a nice ROI, and Englehart has an outstanding record with these types of situations.  Not sure if she will win it, but do believe she can get on the board.  Now the issue is can we get her into an overlay spot? I would like to see at least 9/1 to play here.