Monday, March 26, 2012

Play of the Day: 6th Race at Turf Paradise 3/26/2012

So we start another week trying to find value propositions using the daily race that the DRF tosses our way.  Today we are at Turf Paradise for the 6th race.  It's an Optional Claimer ($20K/N3L) for 3YO and upward going a mile.  At first pass, it's a tough group and I can see several taking it.  I like the #5 Holy Saint at 5/1, but I don't see us getting 6/1 or better.  The #6 Relatorre is an interesting situation, but again not sure we can get the value we need.

The one that struck my eye was the #4 King of the Sky ML 6/1.

This colt is a lightly raced 4YO, who won his first start after a year off. Going a mile here at TP finishing with a credible Beyer. Next outing, they try the grass and he fell, a short break and back on the dirt going a mile again, and bounces back nicely. Finishes 3rd, even with being bumped and all.  The winner of that race came back to win and posted a 75 Beyer. Valorie Lund has a decent record here at TP, and really does well in Allowance races. He had a nice workout recently and can see him improving. With the contention in this race, we need at least 9/1 to make him attractive to play.

If #5 Holy Saint drifts up over 8/1, I might be inclined to go in that direction. I just don't think we will get that price. Difficult race to start the week, but then again, they are all difficult aren't they?