Saturday, April 7, 2012

Saturday Night Special: 4th @ Santa Anita (Matinee Special)

I took a long look at the night races across the country and nothing really popped for me, so I took the 4th at Santa Anita to play for a Matinee Special.  Its a Maiden Special Weight event for 3YO for $56,000 and we are going to look outside on this one.

#12 Falcon's Throne ML 12/1

He had two races as a 2YO and while the results were disappointing he did flash some nice Beyer's.  Without a doubt you can see the company he ran against, 10 of the 16 have gone onto win impressively.  There are several angles here, we know about the key races, also a new trainer (Kasparoff) takes over who hits 13% in MSW's and the jockey switch to Delgadillo.  Even though he got off slowly in his last, his splits improved and his workouts have been steady.  At 12/1 or better he is a nice play in his 3YO debut.

If the #12 is too rich for you, then take a look at the #4 My Best Brother ML 4/1.  This Canini trained colt is making his 3YO debut after one effort at DelMar last season.  Here is another key race angle, while the show horse returned to win, the better one in this race was Castaway who won the Southwest(G3) at Oaklawn with a 90+ Beyer. Canini has hit 17% on MSW second timer's over the years and a jockey change to Vergara helps. Solid workout pattern with bullets sprinkled in makes this one a nice pick here. The only issue is that 4/1 will not hold, if it does then he is the play.

Weekly Recap for the Clocker 4/7/2012

Yesterday in the Transylvania none of my selections did anything.  Silver Max gunned out and never looked back, I lay that race on the other jockey's underestimating Silver Max.  It looked like they all thought the speed was going to come back to them and when it didn't they were done.  We got the odds we wanted, and I would have played $6 to win on State of Play and $2 place/$4 show on Wayward Sailor. The result was a bust out.  So where does that leave us for the week?

Monday: Pharo's Gold got up for show and returned a net profit of $13.80
Tuesday: No play
Wednesday:  No play
Thursday: No play
Friday: out $12

That leaves us a net profit of a $1.80 for a cumulative total net profit of $73.80.  Today I blogged over at http://blog.horseplayersassociation.org/  on the Bayshore (G3) at Aqueduct.  Later this afternoon, I will post here a Saturday Night Special.

Have a great Holiday everyone!