Saturday, August 27, 2011

$20,000 Guaranteed Pick 4 Selections for Balmoral tonight


Tonight at Balmoral is the Guaranteed $20,000 Pick 4 and last Saturday we hit it! Before we get started, last Wednesday night we missed the Pick 4 by one. Looking back should have taken Toshie’s Place as the single and would have had another one for $290.00. Tonight we’re going to do something different, instead of singling one race we’re going to do a 3 -2 - 2 - 3. This is an experiment, having hit one of three singles, so the idea is to spread the risk out a bit and forsake the longshot in two races. Our ticket is still $27 and the balance left is $159.10.

Here we go:

Race 10: #1/1A Major Monet ML 8/1, #4 All American Bomber ML 8/1, Special Joe ML 4/1

This is a wide open race and was tough leaving Vette Man off the ticket. I’m leaning to Major Monet here with a huge improvement last out coming in second and tightening up its final time. All American Bomber is moving up in class and the trainer hits about 12% of time, add Marcus Miller in the buggy and you have to respect this horse.

Race 11: #1 Popperosa ML 8/1 #6 Giddy Up Boy ML 4/1

Like both of these horses, had them in a previous ticket and Popperosa won for us on the 20th. I’m going to stay with Popperosa, she is moving up in class but like her due to speed/time form and Miller again. Giddy Up Boy showed a strong form improvement, good ROI with Roberts and Kreischer connection, could finally beat them all.

Race 12: #3 Johnny B Cool ML 4/1 #6 Rocket Dog 9/2

Johnny B Cool had a big race on the 20th finishing 2nd in a $4,000 CL event. Looks like is in great form and should be interesting with Smolin back at the reins. I like Rocket Dog here based on excellent speed of 75 relative to the others and rounding into form. Coming out of the 6 slot and Casey Leonard driving, just one of those steady horses that knows how to win.

Race 13: #4 Bring The Rain ML 8/1 #5 Real or Magic 4/1 #6 Drive’em Cowboy ML 9/2

While Bring The Rain looks the strongest of the three, I am going with Real or Magic. Had a good outing in Springfield, his speed and class fit nicely here and the Seekman/Fountane have a nice ROI together of .317. If you’re not buying my logic then go with Bring The Rain. Who ran an improved race last out and is getting Miller for the first time, very dangerous horse here.

With some luck tonight we catch some prices and cash a nice Pick 4. Don’t forget the 50 cent Trifecta on the 13th race. Tomorrow night will post selections for the Guaranteed $25,000 Pick 4 at Balmoral.