Wednesday, March 14, 2012

Price Play: 6th Race at Gulfstream Park 3/14/12

Last night in the 8th race at Charles Town we hit the board with Omara Devil coming in second at 15/1.  As expected, Silver Heart won the race, but was surprising is Bahia Beach going off as the favorite. With Omara Devil with a morning line of 5/1 and getting a nice overlay at 15/1, I would have stacked my wagers. One unit win, two to place and three to show.  That would mean at $2 per unit a $12 investment and returned $25.80.

Today, we go to Gulfstream Park for the 6th race, going 5 1/2 furlongs on the grass. It's an Optional claiming event for 4YO+, fillies and mares that have never won $7500 twice other than maiden, claiming starter of state bred or which have never won 3 races or claiming price $62,500.  So those broad conditions bring us a field of 10, and several good horses.

It's easy to see the #5, 6, and 7 are the top ones and you could toss in the #1 and #10 as outsiders.  So I went to find a price play in this event and found the #8 Precision Farming ML 12/1 to be intriguing.  She made her 6YO debut here last month at this level and was closing down on some these in that event.  The place horse two back went on to win at this level with a Beyer in the mid 80's, and Linda Rice is bringing her back promptly. No doubt there has been issues of some kind in the past, seeing she has raced only 15 times in 4 years, but she has won 5, and has shown speed to beat these ladies. I do like Linda Rice horses, and Lezcano is back on board. He is having a good meet, and that might signal she is ready to go today.  Also, she is getting an extra 1/2 furlong today, and she has won at this distance and at 6F, this small stretch out might be just the tonic.

We need 12/1 or higher, and not sure how to wager as I would have to see the  odds at post time. Good luck and will see you all tomorrow.