Monday, April 9, 2012

Apology for today's race at Parx Racing

I apologize to the readers about the scratch on Gusto Di Limone today in the 7th Race. I pulled up the DRF entries and it didn't show any scratches. I normally look at my TVG account to double check and didn't do it this morning.  In the future, I will double check and if something goes haywire at the last minute, I will try to post a night race as an alternative.  I really liked Gusto Di Limone in this one, but the winner, Shoe Shine Man was in my top three. I wouldn't have touched him a 3/1 but I did like him too!

Thanks for your patience and will see you all tomorrow.

the Clocker

Play of the Day: 7th at Parx Racing 4/9/2012

We got a tidy score with Race for Urga in the Wait A While Stakes at Gulfstream yesterday, she paid $6.40 for the win.  I didn't expect her to go off as the favorite but at 2+/1 to win, she would have been a nice bet.  Today we return to where we had our last big win, Park Racing for the 7th race. It's a claiming event for 3YO+ which have never won two races. Claiming price is $16,000 (16-14) and they are running 7 furlongs for the $26,000 purse.

There is a big field of 11 and several are nice value opportunities, almost too many in fact.  The one I keep coming back to is the #11 Gusto Di Limone ML 20/1.  

This lightly raced 4YO son of Lemondrop Kid broke his maiden last out and was promptly claimed.  There are a ton of angles to play here, the recent claim were Auwarter hits 22% on first time claimers is the obvious one. The colt has hit the board 3 of 5 times and is on the board 2 of 2 here at Parx, so we know he can get into the action.  Had a nice bump in his Beyer (50), and out of the key race angle, Dance With Bull has come back to win twice and has Beyer's over 70.  I also find it interesting that Auwarter has the morning line favorite entered, Sure Got It, but he puts on his top jockey, Garcia on this one. This connection has hit 22% for a $2.62 ROI.

It'll be interesting to see where the odds end up on him, I can't fathom getting 20/1. I'm sure he will be bet down, but he is a nice play above 9/1. There are plenty of others in here too, almost a field of dreams for value players.  Normally would pass on this one for that reason. However, the longer I look at the #11 the more I like him.