Saturday, April 21, 2012

Saturday Night Special: 6th Race Penn National 4/21/12

At Aqueduct yesterday, Shakeira,  our choice hit the board with a win and paid $8.20.  This time I didn't get greedy and put the whole $12 on the nose and the return was $49.20!  So we have three winners in a row and thought tonight I would toss out a longshot at Penn National.   It's the 6th Race, an Allowance $40,000N1X for 4YO+ Pennsylvania state breds going six furlongs on dirt.

I originally liked Blue Tick Hound but he has scratched, that leaves me to go outside and I keep coming back to #1 Sleeping Tiger ML 3/1.  This will be his third start as a 4YO and fifth lifetime.  He broke his maiden as a 2YO, the next race was a disaster in an allowance race for non winners of two.  Took a year off and fired a 66 Beyer in his first outing then right back to win a claiming race ($13-15KN2L) with a Beyer of 76.  We also have to like how Bernard Houghton bring in horses in these situations and win 21% with short layoffs.  He also is putting Dana Whitney on board who scores 23% on Houghton mounts.  Final thoughts, he has won twice here at Penn National, a 5f workout suggest he is ready.  There are several that will go out to the front and with his pressing style he should be right there to jump them.  If we can get 9/1 then the risk is worth the reward.  No matter is should be an interesting race.