If you haven't seen the March 8th edition of Trips and Traps with Andy Serling and Eric Donovan here it is:
Friday, March 9, 2012
Play of the Day: 7th @Santa Anita for March 9th
Self Control took the 9th at Gulfstream yesterday and I wasn't surprised. He did look like the solid choice in that race, but what did surprise me was that he got a fairly square price of 2/1 (ML 5/2). The fact that my upset choice, E. H. Indy was bet down from 5/1 to around 5/2, I would have taken Self Control in this situation. Self Control paid a nice $6.00 ticket, who wouldn't take a 33% return on their money?
Today we head to the West Coast and will play the 7th at Santa Anita. It's an Optional Claimer for $25,000, for 4YO+ fillies and mares that have never won $10,000 other than maiden, claiming or starter or which have never won two races or optional claiming price of $25,000. That was a mouth full, but it's these type of races that bring in live horses, and surprises happen. I almost forgot it is on the grass (downhill start at Santa Anita) going 6 1/2 panels.
When you look at the 10 entrants, there are several here that look sharp. This is one of those races were you can almost over handicap it, so in the end I come up with three I like: #4 Abella ML 6/1, #5 Suances Flower ML 4/1 and #6 Bodie Girl Ml 6/1.
It's one of those situations, like yesterday were you let the action dictate where you go, for the price and will assume she will be overlooked, I like #4 Abella at maybe 3/1 or higher, if she goes below 3/1 then I have to run with #5 Suances Flower (again if the price is right).
What appeals to me with Abella is she is coming back off a win on this course at this distance. Yes, it was her maiden,but she did show a nice Beyer jump, and showed she likes the grass. Blincoe runs a small barn, and his stats are solid, so you have consider his h a 29% win record with WonLastStart for a whopping $4.57 ROI. It looks like this lightly raced 4YO has more upside to go. I also like her running style and that Pedroza is on board again.
Tomorrow I'll be blogging over at horseplayersassociation.org blog, not sure what race yet but more than likely the Tampa Bay Derby. Have a great weekend and see you all on Monday.
Record:
Selections: 7
Wins: 2
Place: 0
Show: 1
Today we head to the West Coast and will play the 7th at Santa Anita. It's an Optional Claimer for $25,000, for 4YO+ fillies and mares that have never won $10,000 other than maiden, claiming or starter or which have never won two races or optional claiming price of $25,000. That was a mouth full, but it's these type of races that bring in live horses, and surprises happen. I almost forgot it is on the grass (downhill start at Santa Anita) going 6 1/2 panels.
When you look at the 10 entrants, there are several here that look sharp. This is one of those races were you can almost over handicap it, so in the end I come up with three I like: #4 Abella ML 6/1, #5 Suances Flower ML 4/1 and #6 Bodie Girl Ml 6/1.
It's one of those situations, like yesterday were you let the action dictate where you go, for the price and will assume she will be overlooked, I like #4 Abella at maybe 3/1 or higher, if she goes below 3/1 then I have to run with #5 Suances Flower (again if the price is right).
What appeals to me with Abella is she is coming back off a win on this course at this distance. Yes, it was her maiden,but she did show a nice Beyer jump, and showed she likes the grass. Blincoe runs a small barn, and his stats are solid, so you have consider his h a 29% win record with WonLastStart for a whopping $4.57 ROI. It looks like this lightly raced 4YO has more upside to go. I also like her running style and that Pedroza is on board again.
Tomorrow I'll be blogging over at horseplayersassociation.org blog, not sure what race yet but more than likely the Tampa Bay Derby. Have a great weekend and see you all on Monday.
Record:
Selections: 7
Wins: 2
Place: 0
Show: 1
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)