Wednesday, September 28, 2011

Balmoral Guarantees $50,000 in the Pick 4 tonight!

We start tonight at Balmoral with a $50,000 Guaranteed Pick4! After a nice break, this is a great way to get back into the hunt to pull down Pick 4’s. The takeout is only 15%, and the guarantee is quite a jump from the usual $15,000. The Pick 4 is Race 7 through 10, we’re sticking with a $24 ticket, and the spread will be a 3-2-2-3. The selections are as follows:

Race 7 #1 Hot Laps ML 10/1 #6 Maximus Meridius N ML 4/1 #10 Rocket Dog ML 8/1

This race should be a battle between the #6 and #10, with Maximus Meridius N winning two in a row. You could also add Samstorm if you want to single Race 8. It’s hard not to stay with Maximus again, he is a great groove and final times are really strong, but for the value I will go with Rocket Dog. His last outing was super good, and strong improvement overall. I believe it’s time for him to be a winner.

Race 8 #3 Towne Nurse ML 5/2 #10 No Doubt ML 5/1

You could single this race with Towne Nurse, and I see no reason this 5YO mare can’t win her third in a row. The Cosling’s have her in a nice spot, winning five of seven, the only downside if the track is off, she could be vulnerable. No Doubt could come from the outside and take it, but will go chalk here with Towne Nurse.

Race 9 #1 Primrose Path ML 6/1 #5 Tinkers Damn ML 3/1

A lot of action will go to the #5 and Madison Paige, but I really like the consistent speed fig’s with Primrose Path. Last three races have been in the 70’s and she has reduced her final times in each race to an even 1:54. The last two races she had a onerous post and tonight she gets the inside, with Leonard in the buggy again, this should be her time to score.

Race 10 #6 Fox Valley Phoebe ML 8/1 #8 Frontier Belle ML 8/1 #9 What’sALittleRain ML 5/1

This race is wide open, and if you didn’t add Samstorm in Race 7 and singled Towne Nurse in the eighth you could add one more here. If you go that direction then consider, Sues Blue Pants. If I had to take one here, it would be the #6 Fox Valley Phoebe, she is dropping in class. In her first race at Balmoral she was not threat, but posted a strong 73 and a solid 1:54.4, her best time in a long time. Would consider this filly to be ready, and getting a better post this time out.