Thursday, March 8, 2012

Play of the Day: 9th race @Gulfstream Park

So yesterday at Aqueduct our primary horse, Street Life, scratched leaving us A Boy Named Em. We got the price we wanted, sadly he didn't get the result. I read the racing line, and he got squeezed again at the start, this is twice in a row. After that it looked like he dropped down on the rail and took a tour of the track. It's possible Kennealy told the jockey to take it easy of the break wasn't right, I would keep an out for him next time out.

Today, the DRF gives us an allowance race today at Gulfstream Park. It will be the 9th race, going an mile and an eighth over the main track. It is for 4YO and upward which have never won $700 other than maiden claiming or starter or which have never won two races. The purse is $62,750, so it brings in some fine horses and many here int this field of 10 have a legitimate shot at winning today.

The favorite and likely winner will be the #7 Self Control ML 5/2. I wouldn't call him a lock for this one, but he does look solid here. With that said, I could end the write up right here, but that would be too easy, so in looking for the upset horse at a price the one I keep coming back to is the #9 E. H. Indy ML 5/1. This will this 4YO third trip around GP, the last two were Place finishes, and barely missing in both. Even though his last two Beyer figures have shown an improve, his past has shown him to be a bouncer. The question to ask has he grown out of that pattern or do we see him resume it today? I'm going with that he continues to improve, the other issue is that he is a closer, but he does stretch out and that could play into his racing style. Pena has shown he does well with horses that have been freshened, along with some good results in allowance races.

I know this reads like I'm a tepid on him and maybe so, it is a tough group today, and if I had to look elsewhere I find the #5 Unbridled Kimanchi ML 8/1 interesting. So in the end, I will go with the #5, maybe do a $2 win/place wager just to cover him not getting there in time. I have had these kind break my heart so many times at the wire.


Record:

Selections: 7

Wins: 1

Place: 0

Show: 2

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