Thursday, March 15, 2012

Play of the Day: 7th @Aqueduct 3/15/12

We got the price on Precision Farming at Gulfstream yesterday, 15/1, sadly we didn't get the result.  I'm not sure how I would have played it, she had shown issues in the past, and felt lukewarm all the way around, maybe one unit to win and let it go at that.  Today is Thursday, so it must be Aqueduct! It feels like every Thursday the DRF tosses us a race from there and today is no exception.

It's the 7th race, a Optional Claimer for $75,000 non winners of one etc.  I will refrain writing out the conditions today.  It's for 3YO going 6F on the inner track. A nice field of 8 lightly raced 3YO's have entered and this group is tough.  There are several I like in here, especially the #3 and #4, either one show they can handle this one, and if we could a decent value I would take #3 Copy My Swagger ML 3/1 in a flash, but I don't think it will be there. So where do we go to get some value in this bunch.

If the tote plays out right and the money falls on the #3 and #4, and we can assume money will land on #8 Behemoth ML 5/1, Pletcher's horse, we might get some play on the #6 Sportswriter ML 5/2.  This is a straight angle play.  He won two back at this distance on the inner track, cutting back today, improving Beyer's, Rudy Rodriquez is having a great meet, and he puts Dominquez on board (who is red hot).  There is no doubt he will need a strong effort today, for he mainly has faced state breds, but there are times you have to go with the flow.  There is an old saying, the trend is your friend and when you find a hot trainer/jockey combo, you foresake form and go with it. Let's see how the tote treats us, but he will be a good play if he can bust over 5/1.  

No comments:

Post a Comment