Saturday, March 31, 2012

Saturday Night Special: Penn Natl 4th Race

I was scanning the entries this afternoon and found an interesting spot play.  It's the 4th race at Penn National, an Allowance race($36,000N1X) for 4YO+ fillies and mares, going a mile on the dirt.  Most like the #1 for the live longshot play, and she is interesting, however when I look deeper into the lineup I found the ...

#9 For Real Too ML 8/1

The attraction is this 4YO filly, is  lightly raced, has won 3 of 11 starts, those being 3 in a row.  She is shipping in from Parx, where she started her 4YO season, and it was a vast improvement from her last effort at Monmouth.  You'll notice she improved on each point of the call, her Beyer popped up to a 66.  Today, Bruce Levine cuts her back in distance (1 win in three attempts, with 2 seconds) and he puts on Cora, who is having a great meet with 21% wins.  What adds to this is Bruce Levine having an excellent record with 2OFF (26%) and 24% win record in Allowance races.  In summary, the angle is a top trainer, shipping in off a good first start and adding a top jockey.  Now if we can get better than 8/1 it would be a Saturday Night Special!

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