Play of the Day: 6th Race at Turf Paradise 3/26/2012

So we start another week trying to find value propositions using the daily race that the DRF tosses our way.  Today we are at Turf Paradise for the 6th race.  It's an Optional Claimer ($20K/N3L) for 3YO and upward going a mile.  At first pass, it's a tough group and I can see several taking it.  I like the #5 Holy Saint at 5/1, but I don't see us getting 6/1 or better.  The #6 Relatorre is an interesting situation, but again not sure we can get the value we need.

The one that struck my eye was the #4 King of the Sky ML 6/1.

This colt is a lightly raced 4YO, who won his first start after a year off. Going a mile here at TP finishing with a credible Beyer. Next outing, they try the grass and he fell, a short break and back on the dirt going a mile again, and bounces back nicely. Finishes 3rd, even with being bumped and all.  The winner of that race came back to win and posted a 75 Beyer. Valorie Lund has a decent record here at TP, and really does well in Allowance races. He had a nice workout recently and can see him improving. With the contention in this race, we need at least 9/1 to make him attractive to play.

If #5 Holy Saint drifts up over 8/1, I might be inclined to go in that direction. I just don't think we will get that price. Difficult race to start the week, but then again, they are all difficult aren't they?  

Weekly Recap for the Clocker 3/25/12

Friday at Santa Anita we got our odds but like Thursday we didn't the result. The interesting thing is at the track, I shifted my entire play to the #5 Tones(IRE) ML 4/1.  When looking at the PP's he was a good looking horse, but at 4/1 there was no strong value. However, at race time he moved to 10/1 and that is an overlay. I played him with a stack bet and he came in second returning, $10.40 for place and $5.40 for show a total of $37 on a $12 investment. Sadly, that is not what I wrote, so it is a big zero for the day.

For the week we had a place and a win. We invested a total of $42, returned $65 for a profit of $23.20. The carryover from the week before was a positive $30.40 bringing our grand total so far to, $53.60.  At this pace I can buy a tank a gas! Today, I will be doing the analysis on the Sunland Derby at horseplayersassociation.org.

See you all tomorrow!